
The 2025 Kentucky Derby will take place on Saturday at Churchill Downs, with post time set for 6:57 p.m. ET. This year’s race will try to top the excitement of last year, which saw one of the tightest photo finishes in the history of the Run for the Roses. There are three 2025 Kentucky Derby horses that pay out less than 10-1 in the 2025 Kentucky Derby odds, including Journalism, the 3-1 favorite. He has four wins and a third-place finish in five career starts, but he will have to get past other 2025 Kentucky Derby contenders like Sovereignty (5-1) and Sandman (6-1). Trainer Bob Baffert can win the Kentucky Derby for a record-setting seventh time and will try to do so with Citizen Bull (20-1). Should you include Citizen Bull in your 2025 Kentucky Derby bets? Before making any 2025 Kentucky Derby picks, you’ll want to see what SportsLine horse racing expert Tim Doyle has to say before making any 2025 Kentucky Derby picks or horse racing predictions. Doyle is an experienced horse bettor, having lived less than 20 miles from both Belmont Park and Aqueduct Racetrack in New York. He prefers to play multirace wagers, from doubles to Pick 6s. And in 2020, he had the biggest score of his life, hitting a $150,000 Pick 5 at Oaklawn Park. During the 2023 Triple Crown, Doyle was on fire. He correctly called 15-1 longshot Mage to win the Kentucky Derby and 8-1 longshot Arcangelo to win the Belmont Stakes. Anyone who has followed him on betting apps like FanDuel Racing, TwinSpires and 1/ST BET could have been way up. For the Run for the Roses, Doyle has handicapped the 2025 Kentucky Derby field, made his picks and constructed his best bets for how to bet on the Kentucky Derby 2025. You can head to SportsLine now to see them. Top 2025 Kentucky Derby predictions One of Doyle’s surprising 2025 Kentucky Derby picks: He is fading Journalism, even though he is the 3-1 favorite. While Journalism is riding a four-race winning streak and is coming off a strong showing in the Santa Anita Derby, he has never faced a field of this size. He has also never raced outside of California, which Doyle sees as a “major negative.” Journalism will likely need a perfect trip under jockey Umberto Rispoli, who has never hit the board in the Kentucky Derby. Additionally, the favorite has not won the Derby since Justify (2018). Doyle believes there are too many things working against Journalism on Saturday, so he is going in a different direction with his pick to win. See which 2025 Kentucky Derby horses he likes at SportsLine. How to make 2025 Kentucky Derby bets, picks Instead of chasing the favorite, Doyle’s top pick is a double-digit longshot who “has a massive closing kick.” Doyle is sharing who he likes over at SportsLine.